We are ready for any scenarios

On the eve of the election campaigns, destructive forces will try to shake up the situation,
but the public administration system in the country is capable of reflecting all challenges

Yelizaveta Kobetskaya

The situation in the world is developing rapidly. As Chinese President Xi Jinping said at a meeting with the President of Belarus, Aleksandr Lukashenko, on December 4th, 2023, in Beijing, ‘titanic changes are taking place in the modern world’. Under these conditions, we, Belarusians, are entering new election cycles. The events of 2020 showed the full range of indirect non-military methods of the West’s struggle against sovereign peoples and states. To ensure that we are fully armed, it is now important for us to see all the trends and scenarios for the future.

We will not allow interference in our affairs 

It is important to realise that Westerners’ scenarios are in no way aimed at ensuring our well-being. No kind of capital is interested in creating benefits and a comfortable life for other nations.
Global and regional capital (Poland, EU, Ukraine, Baltic countries) are focused exclusively on making money at the expense of other peoples, their suffering and disasters.
The President of Belarus at the climate summit in Dubai, considering issues of global environmental security, actually openly stated this. Global elites, satisfying their thirst for profit, are wreaking war and ruin on our planet and nations.
Such aspirations of the ‘world rulers’ can only be stopped by active co-operation and united efforts of various states interested in preserving and developing traditional values and global peace for all humanity.
It is not for nothing that after the summit in Dubai, our President visits China and discusses global problems and the common destiny of humanity with the top leadership of this country. The key emphasis on the Chinese side was made in support of Belarus’ positions on preventing interference in the internal and external affairs of our republic.
 Aleksandr Kulevsky

Anti-Belarusian forces do not give up

Such keen attention to the topic of Belarusian sovereignty is due to our President’s understanding of the above-mentioned scenarios of Westerners in the upcoming election cycles. It is the latter who will try to exert every possible influence on the course of the elections. 
You may ask what these scenarios might be. We will not guess and exaggerate, scaring readers. Let’s just note what has already been replicated in the information field in the period from 2020 to 2023. Remember, Polish psychological operations centres told us and showed us how they were training combat units from among supposedly Belarusian volunteers, including women? The latter, with tears in their eyes and in military uniform, told the camera how they (and only they), ‘poor Belarusian women’, were preparing to liberate Belarus and the Belarusian people from the dictator. 
Then there was a video with the brave soldiers of the Ukrainian Armed Forces who wanted to capture Mozyr and Gomel in two weeks. To this should be added the already attempted terrorist attacks in Grodno, on the eve of May 9th, carried out by sabotage at the airfield in Machulishchi.
Of course, the highest military-political leadership of Belarus is well aware and controls the situation in our country and in neighbouring territories. As a result, at the end of 2022, at the direction of the Head of State, public coverage of the materials of the meeting between the President and security forces took place. 
Then information was presented about the conduct of an anti-Belarusian information campaign against our country, the intensification of the activities of centres abroad and the formation of terrorist centres in adjacent territories (Poland, Ukraine, the Baltic countries). The actions of destructive forces have nothing to do with peace, good neighbourliness and improving the well-being of ordinary Belarusians. Not at all. All their intentions are focused on extremely aggressive activity and harsh methods of seising power in Belarus.
You will say: it was a long time ago, at the end of 2022, and now everything is fine, there are no evil intentions, everything is quiet! However, last week a meeting of the ‘power bloc’ of destructive anti-Belarusian forces took place in Kiev. The main theme is the seisure of power in Belarus by force with the involvement of an extremist formation (‘Kalinovsky’s regiment’) and other militant terrorist groups.

 Andrei Sazonov

Be ready for any challenge

Therefore, now we, Belarusians, and especially civil servants, members of election commissions, participants in election campaigns, and security forces should not fall into a state of complacency and expect that they will leave us alone in 2024/2025. 
It is important to ensure maximum development of response models to any scenarios of Westerners, conducting so-called stress tests for the stability of the public administration system to any challenges.
You and I are not in some ideal environment where we can sluggishly and leisurely conduct the upcoming elections. No, we are surrounded by extremely aggressive neighbours and their forces.  
At the same time, it should be clarified that thanks to the managerial will of our President and the activity of the government, extremely favourable socio-economic conditions for holding elections have now been created. Economic growth rates are high, real wages are rising, inflation is decreasing, business activity is increasing, gold and foreign exchange reserves are increasing, the state budget is in surplus. 
The situation would be much worse if Belarus experienced a sharp rise in prices, closure of enterprises, bankruptcies of banks, devaluation of the rouble, high unemployment... Such conditions are always an ideal environment for instilling a spirit of intolerance, hostility, protests and violence. Any destructive, radical ideas of nationalism, fascism, Nazism, terrorism, radical paganism easily enter such soil.
 We just observed all this in Ukraine: first they destroyed the national economy, threw people out onto the streets, left them without income, and then introduced into their consciousness all the sophisticated forms of unreality: Bandera is a hero, Russia is an enemy, European integration is the best salvation...   
On November 11th, 2022, Aleksandr Lukashenko, clearly defined the one and only priority task for us, Belarusians, during a working trip to the Tolochin District, 
“If we don’t get our act together, we will lose our independence. If everything goes well in our economy, we won’t be afraid of any wars, they simply won’t happen. Everyone needs to do their own thing now. There will be no food, goods, jobs, salaries, pensions — it will be easy to rock us and plunge us into the abyss of protests, revolutions and civil wars.”
Now we have only one scenario: to carry out the election campaign calmly, not to become victims of Western manipulators and to work in our places, to work for the benefit of the state and the people. For parliamentary candidates, party and public leaders — this is active education of the masses, direct dialogue! They must go to the people, otherwise others will come to them. 

By Aleksei Avdonin, an analyst with the Belarusian Institute of Strategic Research (BISR)