Expert on what global trends will prevail in 2025: from chaos to stability

Advanced approaches to the study of the future features a confrontation between two trends: some believe financial and economic factors are key in determining the way forward, and others focus on socio-political issues. What the near future can bring to us as a result?

Hawks won't back down easily

Processes based on the military escalation of relations with the East will continue among the political elites of the EU, the US, and the UK. At the same time, Western rulers are increasingly aware that Russia cannot be defeated by military action, so Washington and Brussels will try to impose a temporary peace on Moscow and use it to militarise Ukraine and other Eastern European NATO countries. Of course, this will not work for them – just like it did not work earlier.

In 2025, the number of supporters of peaceful development of the planet will grow and the hawks will begin to be smoothly removed from power and put outside the brackets of big politics. Global corporate elites have come to the conclusion that, after the failure to economically, military and politically ‘seize’ Russia, the further fuelling of the conflict in Ukraine at the previous level may be too costly and fraught with drawing NATO countries into direct armed confrontation.

However, the military lobbies of Western defence corporations do not intend to lose a great amount of orders placed in 2022-2024. There is a high probability that military conflicts will be transferred from Europe to the Asia-Pacific region in the near future.

Due to the growing disagreements within NATO and the weakening of the US position, further destruction of the unity of the North Atlantic Alliance is possible against the background of Europe's unwillingness to bear the burden of losses due to Washington's militaristic policy. 

Moving away from bureaucracy

In global politics, the vector of development of events this year, based on past trends, is likely to be aimed at increasing the level of chaos and uncertainty, which lead to the destruction of established systems of governance of society on the planet. The inflexibility and increased level of bureaucracy in some countries reduces their competitiveness in comparison with multinational corporations and banks. The year 2025 will be the period of further confrontation between private corporate unions (raw materials-based, manufacturing and banking giant companies) and integration associations of states (BRICS, SCO, EAEU, CIS, and others). 

Rescue team

2025 will be a year of testing Trump and his team of whether they are populists or realists. The United States resembles a ship with holes, though with a new team that positions itself as rescuers. This team will try to restore domestic production (relocate industrial facilities back from Europe, Asia, and Africa) and minimise the negative foreign trade balance and government debt. However, it is clear that Trump and Musk embarked on the rescue mission too late. There is a high probability that voters will quickly become disillusioned with the ‘mighty Donald’. The United States is much weaker in 2025 than it was in 2016 (during Trump's first term), and key global players understand this. 

Time to enhance competencies

Experts predict that this year will be a breakthrough for the economies of sovereign countries and the integration associations they have formed. It is all about the market!

In the context of the global crisis of overproduction, only the countries and unions that have established their own domestic markets (EAEU, BRICS, Union State) will develop. Accordingly, the struggle for buyers will continue to intensify.

Thanks to President Aleksandr Lukashenko, Belarus has become a successful fighter on this global ‘front’. The focus on pragmatism, the development of mutually beneficial trade relations, and the expansion of the geography of supplies abroad are yielding good results.

However, the coming future will push every Belarusian involved in the real economy to increase their own competence, flexibility in decision-making and efficiency, as well as to minimise any outside costs. Those who manage to produce, deliver and sell their products will be financially successful. Belarus intends to further improve the mechanism of fair price formation, which means to curb inflation and avoid incurring burdensome debts. 

Struggle for justice

In the context of the so-called technological disruptions (the rapid introduction of modern technologies into the production process) in 2025, it is quite possible that we will see an increase in the number of ‘extra’ people in the global economy when specialists with proper education and experience will lose high-paying jobs and their status of middle class representatives.

An increase in unemployment, inflation and loss of savings, as well as higher figures of crime and violence in the West will create conditions for social upheaval. Many people will simply fail to adapt to the new realities and will accordingly plunge into alternative worlds (not only through traditional means — such as alcohol, drugs or games, but also into virtual worlds, which are now actively being created by Meta (formerly Facebook) and Apple corporations through virtual reality glasses). The expansion of such developments may allow the corporate elites of the golden billion countries to avoid mass riots and a new wave of socialist revolutions.

At the same time, the demand for justice is growing around the world, and Belarus acts as the core of these advanced ideas. Therefore, one of the tasks for this year can be outlined as follows: active ideological exports of the Belarusian model of a just society.

Peaceful nuclear development gaining strength

Humanity cannot develop without cheap and easily accessible energy, and the year 2025 will probably become a period of return to the ideas of mass construction of nuclear power plants. Western corporations will continue to impose a green agenda, but the coming future will definitively demonstrate that the countries that have invested in peaceful nuclear development enjoy high rates of economic growth. Belarus is a vivid example of such a wise energy-related approach (cheap electricity means low cost of production).

However, the race to produce ever-increasing volumes of goods will intensify the negative impact of humans on the environment, and this will once again cause an increase in the number of natural disasters. Our task is to prepare for such challenges and actively improve measures to eliminate the consequences of natural disasters.

As for technological trends, humanity will continue to stagnate in the near future: it will not come up with any breakthrough discoveries in the field of energy (the creation of an eternal artificial sun) or mechanics (the development of new ways of moving – not internal combustion engines or electric motors, but plasma platforms and antigravity units).

At the same time, the movement forward in the field of AI, and the topic of quantum computers, Internet of things, cyborg people, and so on will be developed.

Thus, the key trends of 2025 are actually the goals that we, as a Belarusian society, set for ourselves. Our task is to go our own way, make the right choice and know that Western "benefactors" will not bring prosperity to the nation. Well-being requires the hard work of every Belarusian.