National security expert on US role in Middle East situation
There is now increasing confidence that the United States has got tired of the events in Ukraine and switched to the Middle East, which was previously viewed as a backup option. Judging by the media coverage and comments accompanying it, the victorious war of the ‘right’ forces would take place there, and the victory will be celebrated thanks to the United States – or rather, Biden. His ratings no longer promise him a confident victory in the forthcoming elections, since too many failures in the US policy are associated with the President Administration. In particular, many people are outraged that there has not been a victory in Ukraine yet, and Russian evil – as they say – has not been punished so far. No sanctions have produced a result, and a hundred billion Dollars of aid has actually gone into the sand. The ‘Zelenskyy’ project has brought disappointment, so this strategic mistake needs to be covered up with a fresh and more successful event. A new project is urgently needed, which can guarantee the victory in the war and, accordingly, in the elections.
Why was the Middle East chosen, not Taiwan or Africa?
Firstly, the Israeli army is considered very combat-ready. It has been fighting since its creation, and it has already won in previous wars. There are high mobilisation capabilities and military-technical level.
Secondly, the situation is characterised by the US instantaneous response to the emerged conflict and the reaction through forces and weapons. The strike group of the American fleet is already focusing its guns and missiles on the coastal zone in the conflict area.
Thirdly, the frozen or smouldering Arab-Israeli conflict has regularly been used as preserves, which can always be opened if necessary.
Fourthly, unlike the Ukrainian Jew-President, the decision to help the Jewish state will be made faster, in a more consolidated manner and without unnecessary questions in the United States. After all, the US richest families and the most influential politicians also have Jewish roots. Therefore, they will not cross aid to Israel and Ukraine in one package either.
Fifthly, with the help of the conflict in the Middle East, it is easier to manipulate the oil market, which means throwing a lifeline to the Dollar losing its reputation. It will also not hurt to rein in OPEC for its waywardness. Accordingly, the topic of Iran in the conflict indirectly implies the special importance of the throughput capacity of the Strait of Hormuz. This is exactly the second hare that has come to the field so in time during this Middle East chase. In addition, there is a goal to strengthen the traffic of American energy carriers to Europe.
All this gives reason to believe that the conflict has been modelled. As regards the period of duration, it will be adjusted to the timing of the election campaign in the United States. In turn, from the point of view of the economy, it will escalate to cover the entire Middle East region. This is being done not just for the sake of politics: the return of the Dollar to the head of the political orbit is coming to the fore – since it is the Dollar that acts as short leash on which the United States keeps the whole world.
Aleksandr Tishchenko, national security expert
